Misika yepasi rose pellet yakawedzera zvakanyanya mumakore gumi apfuura, zvakanyanya nekuda kwekuda kubva kumaindasitiri. Nepo misika yekudziya yepellet ichiita huwandu hwakakura hwekudiwa kwepasirese, iyi ongororo ichatarisa kune indasitiri yehuni pellet chikamu.

Misika yekudziya yePellet yakapikiswa mumakore achangopfuura nemitengo yakaderera yekudziya mafuta (mitengo yemafuta negasi) uye inodziya kupfuura avhareji yechando muNorth America neEurope. FutureMetrics inotarisira kuti musanganiswa wemitengo yepamusoro yemafuta uye de-carbonization marongero anodzosa kukura kwekuda kune maitiro muna 2020s.

Kwemakore akati wandei apfuura, iyo indasitiri yemapuranga pellet chikamu chaive chakakura sechikamu chekudziya pellet, uye inotarisirwa kukura zvakanyanya mumakore gumi anotevera.
Musika weindasitiri wehuni pellet unofambiswa nekabhoni emissions kuderedza uye hurongwa hwekugadzirazve. Industrial huni pellets ishoma kabhoni inodzokororwa mafuta anotsiva nyore marasha muzviteshi zvemagetsi zvekushandisa.

Pellets inogona kutsiviwa nemarasha munzira mbiri, kungave kutendeuka kwakazara kana co-firing. Kuti uwane kutendeuka kwakazara, chikwata chose pachiteshi chemarasha chinoshandurwa kubva pakushandisa marasha kusvika pakushandisa mapuranga emapuranga. Izvi zvinoda kugadziridzwa kunobata mafuta, masisitimu ekudya, uye zvinopisa. Co-firing ndiko kupisa kwemapuranga emapuranga pamwe chete nemarasha. Pazviyero zvakaderera co-firing, zvigadziriso zvishoma kune zviripo pulverized marasha zvivakwa zvinodiwa. Muchokwadi, pamisanganiswa yakaderera (pasi peanenge manomwe muzana) emapuranga pellets, anenge hapana shanduko inodiwa.

Kudiwa muUK neEU kunotarisirwa kukwira ne2020. Zvisinei, kukura kukuru kunotarisirwa muJapan neSouth Korea muma2020. Isu tinotarisirawo kuti Canada neUS tive nemagetsi emagetsi emarasha anoshandisa maindasitiri emapuranga pellets panosvika 2025.

Pellet inoda

Zvitsva zvakakura zvekushandisa co-firing uye mapurojekiti ekushandura muJapan, EU neUK, uye South Korea, uye akawanda madiki akazvimiririra emagetsi mapurojekiti muJapan, ari kufanofungidzira kuwedzera matani anosvika mamirioni makumi maviri nemana pagore kune kudiwa kwazvino panosvika 2025. kukura kunotarisirwa kunobva kuJapan, neSouth Korea.

FutureMetrics inochengetedza yakadzama-yakananga dhatabhesi pane ese mapurojekiti anotarisirwa kunge achipedza huni pellets. Kuwanda kwekupihwa kwepellets kune yakarongwa kudiwa kutsva muEU neUK kwakatorongwa nevagadziri vakuru varipo. Nekudaro, iyo misika yeJapan neS. Korea inopa mukana wehunyanzvi hutsva, kureva, kazhinji, kwete mupombi kubva nhasi.

Europe neEngland

Kukura kwekutanga (2010 kusvika ikozvino) muindasitiri yemapuranga pellet sector yakabva kumadokero kweEurope neUK Zvisinei, kukura muEurope kuri kuderera uye kunotarisirwa kukwira mukutanga kwe2020s. Kukura kwasara muEuropean maindasitiri ehuni pellet kudiwa kuchabva kumapurojekiti muNetherlands neUK

Zvinodiwa neveDutch utilities hazvisati zvanyatsojeka, sezvo marasha emarasha akanonotsa sarudzo dzekupedzisira dzekudyara pamusoro pekugadzirisa kudzoreredza kusvika vapihwa vimbiso yekuti marasha avo acharamba achishanda. Vazhinji vaongorori, kusanganisira FutureMetrics, vanotarisira kuti nyaya idzi dzigadziriswe uye kudiwa kweDutch kungangokura nematani 2.5 miriyoni pagore mumakore matatu kusvika mana anotevera. Zvinogoneka kuti kudiwa kweDutch kuchakwira kusvika pamatani 3.5 miriyoni pagore kana nhepfenyuro ina dzemarasha dzakapihwa rubatsiro dzikaenderera nehurongwa hwadzo.

Mapurojekiti maviri eUK, EPH's 400MW Lynemouth chiteshi chemagetsi chekushandura uye MGT's Teeside greenfield CHP chirimwa, parizvino ari mukukomisheni kana kuti ari kuvakwa. Drax ichangobva kuzivisa kuti ichashandura chikamu chechina kuti chimhanye pamapellets. Inguva mangani iyo unit ichamhanya mugore haina kujeka panguva ino. Nekudaro, zvichipihwa kuti sarudzo yekudyara yaitwa, FutureMetrics inofungidzira kuti unit 4 ichadya mamwe mazana mapfumbamwe emazana ematani pagore. Imwe neimwe yakashandurwa unit pachiteshi cheDrax inogona kushandisa matani anosvika 2.5 miriyoni pagore kana ikamhanya yakazara gore rose. FutureMetrics mapurojekiti akazara kutsva kungangodiwa kuEurope neEngland pamamiriyoni matanhatu emamiriyoni ematani pagore.

Japani

Kudiwa kweBiomass muJapan kunonyanya kufambiswa nezvikamu zvitatu zvemitemo: Iyo Feed in Tariff (FiT) tsigiro chirongwa chesimba rinodzokororwa, marasha ekupisa kwechirimwa zvimiro, uye kabhoni emissions zvinangwa.

Iyo FiT inopa vagadziri vemagetsi vakazvimiririra (IPPs) mutengo wakatarwa wesimba rinodzokororwa mukati menguva yakawedzerwa kondirakiti - makore makumi maviri esimba rebiomass. Parizvino, pasi peFiT, magetsi anogadzirwa kubva ku "general wood," ayo anosanganisira pellets, matanda anotengeswa kunze kwenyika, uye palm kernel shell (PKS), anowana rubatsiro rwe21 ¥/kWh, pasi kubva pa24 ¥/kWh pamberi paSep. 30, 2017. Zvisinei, zviyero zvebiomass IPPs zvakagamuchira FiT yakakwirira zvakavharwa mukati meyero iyoyo (inenge $ 0.214 / kWh pamitengo yezvino yekuchinjana).

Japan’s Ministry of Economy Trade and Industry (METI) yakagadzira inodaidzwa kuti “Best Energy Mix” ye2030. Muchirongwa ichocho, biomass power inobata 4.1 per cent yehuwandu hwemagetsi ekugadzirwa kweJapan muna 2030. Izvi zvakaenzana neanopfuura mamiriyoni makumi maviri nematanhatu. metric tonnes emapellets (kana biomass yese yaive matanda emapuranga).

Muna 2016, METI yakaburitsa bepa rinotsanangura tekinoroji yemhando yepamusoro (BAT) inoshanda zvakanaka pazvirimwa zvinopisa. Iro bepa rinogadzira zviyero zvishoma zvekushanda kwemajenareta emagetsi. Kubva muna 2016, chikamu chimwe chete muzvitatu chechizvarwa chemarasha chekuJapan chinobva muzvirimwa zvinosangana neBAT inoshanda mwero. Imwe nzira yekutevedzera chiyero chitsva chehuni ndeyekupisa huni pellets.

Kubudirira kwezvirimwa kunowanzoverengerwa nekugovanisa simba rinobuda nekuisa simba. Saka, semuenzaniso, kana chiteshi chemagetsi chikashandisa 100 MWh yesimba rekuisa kugadzira 35 MWh, chirimwa icho chiri kushanda pamakumi matatu neshanu muzana.

METI yakabvumira simba rekuisa kubva kubiomass co-firing kuti ribviswe kubva pakuiswa. Kana chirimwa chimwe chete chakatsanangurwa pamusoro apa chichipisa 15 MWh yemapuranga emapuranga, kushanda kwechirimwa pasi pekuverenga kutsva kunenge kuri 35 MWh / (100 MWh - 15 MWh) = 41.2 muzana, iri pamusoro pechikumbaridzo chekushanda. FutureMetrics yakaverenga matani emapuranga emapuranga ayo anozodiwa nemagetsi eJapan zvidyarwa kuti zviunze zvidyarwa zvakaderera mukutevedzera mushumo weJapan Biomass Outlook ichangobva kuburitswa neFutureMetrics. Chirevo ichi chine data rakadzama pamusoro pezvinodiwa zvinotarisirwa zvehuni pellets, palm kernel shell, uye huni machipisi muJapan uye marongero ari kutyaira izvo zvinoda.

Mafungiro eFutureMetrics ekudiwa kwepellet nevagadziri vemagetsi madiki akazvimirira (IPPs) angangoita matani 4.7 miriyoni pagore panosvika 2025. Izvi zvinobva pakuongorora kwe140 IPPs dzakatsanangurwa muJapan Biomass Outlook.

Zvose zvinogona kudiwa muJapan kubva kumagetsi emagetsi ekushandisa uye kubva kuIPPs zvinogona kudarika mamiriyoni gumi nemaviri ematani pagore ne2025.

Summary

Iko kune yakakwira dhigirii yekuvimba kwakatenderedza kuenderera mberi kwekusimudzira kweEuropean maindasitiri pellet misika. Kudiwa kweJapan, kana IPP mapurojekiti achinge asimuka uye kushanda uye maturusi makuru agamuchira mabhenefiti eFiT, anofanirwawo kugadzikana uye anogona kukura sekufembera. Kudiwa kweramangwana muS. Korea kwakanyanya kuoma kufungidzira nekuda kwekusava nechokwadi mumitengo yeRECs. Pakazere, FutureMetrics inofungidzira kuti kutsva kutsva kwemaindasitiri emapuranga pellets kusvika 2025 kuri kudarika mamirioni makumi maviri nematanhatu ematani pagore.